Two players, one answer.
Justin Joly vs Marcus Mariota
Any league · this week start/sit · PPR
Stats through week 7 of 2026
This week
No call this week: one of them has no game or a projection under 4 points
Rest of season
Justin Joly by 54% (redraft PPR)Dynasty
Marcus Mariota by 31% (Dynasty Superflex)
Week 8 · PPR · 52% held up in 2025
A toss-up
On Sleeper's projections, Justin Joly is projected 0.4 points ahead of Marcus Mariota. In the 2025 season, a player projected that far ahead outscored the other 52% of the time. That's close to a coin flip: on these projections neither is the better start, and an injury report or a projection update before kickoff can tip it.
TE · MIA
Justin Joly
0.4 projected
vs NE · Sun 4:25 PM ET
No games this season
QB · WAS
Marcus Mariota
0.0 projected
vs PHI · Sun 8:20 PM ETQuestionable
11.5 a game this season · last 3: 8.7, 20.4, 5.3
- Marcus Mariota is questionable. The projection assumes he plays; if he's ruled out, the next player up is the call.
What the call rests on
- Justin Joly: Sleeper's projection, last changed Wed, Oct 28, 10:10 AM ET
- Marcus Mariota: Sleeper's projection
- Sleeper's projections read Wed, Oct 28, 10:20 AM ET.
- Injury statuses read Wed, Oct 28, 10:20 AM ET, with the projections (hourly). A fresh projection time doesn't mean every status is: game-day inactives, about 90 minutes before kickoff, can come after it.
| Same projections, scored | Joly | Mariota |
|---|---|---|
| PPR | 0.4 | 0 |
| Half PPR | 0.4 | 0 |
| Standard | 0.3 | 0 |
What could change it before kickoff
- Marcus Mariota's status (questionable): if he's ruled out, Justin Joly is the start.
- A projection update of 0.4 points or more in the other direction flips the call; Sleeper keeps adjusting its projections until kickoff, and this page reads them again at most an hour after it last did.
- Justin Joly plays first (Sun 4:25 PM ET); once his game starts most platforms lock him in or out, before Marcus Mariota's late news is known.
Open in Who should I start (your league, more players)
This week’s projections are Sleeper’s, scored with PPR settings. The percentage is how often a projected gap like this held up across the 2025 season; checked against 2026 games (not used to fit it), the stated chances so far run a few points high, so read a 60% call as nearer 55%.