Two players, one answer.
Justin Joly vs Tanner Koziol
This week
No call this week: one of them has no game or a projection under 4 points
Rest of season
About even (Redraft PPR)Dynasty
About even (Dynasty Superflex)
Week 8 · PPR · 54% held up in 2025
A toss-up
On Sleeper's projections, Tanner Koziol is projected 0.9 points ahead of Justin Joly. In the 2025 season, a player projected that far ahead outscored the other 54% of the time. That's close to a coin flip: on these projections neither is the better start, and an injury report or a projection update before kickoff can tip it.
TE · JAX
Tanner Koziol
1.3 projected
vs IND · Sun 1:00 PM ET
No games this season
TE · MIA
Justin Joly
0.4 projected
vs NE · Sun 4:25 PM ET
No games this season
What the call rests on
- Tanner Koziol: Sleeper's projection, last changed Thu, Oct 29, 10:10 PM ET
- Justin Joly: Sleeper's projection, last changed Thu, Oct 29, 10:10 PM ET
- Sleeper's projections read Thu, Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET.
- Injury statuses read Thu, Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET, with the projections (hourly). A fresh projection time doesn't mean every status is: game-day inactives, about 90 minutes before kickoff, can come after it.
| Same projections, scored | Koziol | Joly |
|---|---|---|
| PPR | 1.3 | 0.4 |
| Half PPR | 1.1 | 0.4 |
| Standard | 0.8 | 0.3 |
What could change it before kickoff
- A projection update of 0.9 points or more in the other direction flips the call; Sleeper keeps adjusting its projections until kickoff, and this page reads them again at most an hour after it last did.
- Tanner Koziol plays first (Sun 1:00 PM ET); once his game starts most platforms lock him in or out, before Justin Joly's late news is known.
Open in Who should I start (your league, more players)
This week’s projections are Sleeper’s, scored with PPR settings. The percentage is how often a projected gap like this held up across the 2025 season; checked against 2026 games (not used to fit it), the stated chances so far run a few points high, so read a 60% call as nearer 55%.