Two players, one answer.
Kirk Cousins vs Kyler Murray
This week
Toss-up · 17.2 to 17.2 projected (Week 9, Half PPR)
Rest of season
Kirk Cousins by 50% (Redraft half PPR)Dynasty
Kyler Murray by 24% (Dynasty Superflex)
Week 9 · Half PPR · 50% held up in 2025
A toss-up
On Sleeper's projections, Kirk Cousins and Kyler Murray are projected level. That's close to a coin flip: on these projections neither is the better start, and an injury report or a projection update before kickoff can tip it.
QB · LV
Kirk Cousins
17.2 projected
@ SF · Sun 4:05 PM ET
20.6 a game this season · last 3: 19.5, 20.4, 28.2
QB · MIN
Kyler Murray
17.2 projected
vs BUF · Mon 8:15 PM ETQuestionable
12.8 a game this season · last 3: 18.3, 13.9, 20.9
- Kyler Murray is questionable. The projection assumes he plays; if he's ruled out, the next player up is the call.
What the call rests on
- Kirk Cousins: Sleeper's projection, last changed Tue, Nov 3, 11:30 PM ET
- Kyler Murray: Sleeper's projection, last changed Tue, Nov 3, 11:30 PM ET
- Sleeper's projections read Tue, Nov 3, 11:42 PM ET.
- Injury statuses read Tue, Nov 3, 11:42 PM ET, with the projections (hourly). A fresh projection time doesn't mean every status is: game-day inactives, about 90 minutes before kickoff, can come after it.
What could change it before kickoff
- Kyler Murray's status (questionable): if he's ruled out, Kirk Cousins is the start.
- A projection update of 0 points or more in the other direction flips the call; Sleeper keeps adjusting its projections until kickoff, and this page reads them again at most an hour after it last did.
- Kirk Cousins plays first (Sun 4:05 PM ET); once his game starts most platforms lock him in or out, before Kyler Murray's late news is known.
Open in Who should I start (your league, more players)
This week’s projections are Sleeper’s, scored with Half PPR settings. The percentage is how often a projected gap like this held up across the 2025 season; checked against 2026 games (not used to fit it), the stated chances so far run a few points high, so read a 60% call as nearer 55%.