Two players, one answer.

Matthew Stafford vs Patrick Mahomes

Dynasty Superflex · 12 teams

Stats through week 6 of 2026

Week 7 · PPR · 54% held up in 2025

A toss-up

On Sleeper's projections, Matthew Stafford is projected 0.9 points ahead of Patrick Mahomes. In the 2025 season, a player projected that far ahead outscored the other 54% of the time. That's close to a coin flip: start the one you trust more, or the one with news on his side.

QB · LAR

Matthew Stafford

17.4 projected

@ LV · Sun 4:25 PM ET

18.6 a game this season · last 3: 27.3, 16.9, 18.5

QB · KC

Patrick Mahomes

16.5 projected

@ SEA · Sun 8:20 PM ET

17.3 a game this season · last 3: 17, 11.5, 7

Their games have already kicked off, so most platforms have locked them in or out for this week.
Patrick Mahomes has scored 11.8 a game over his last three, below his 17.3 season average.

Open in Who should I start (your league, more players)

This week’s projections are Sleeper’s. The percentage is how often a projected gap like this held up across the 2025 season.