Two players, one answer.
Michael Carter vs Tanner Koziol
Any format · this week start/sit · PPR
Stats through week 7 of 2026
This week
No call this week: one of them has no game or a projection under 4 points
Rest of season
Tanner Koziol by 36% (redraft PPR)Dynasty
Tanner Koziol by 23% (Dynasty Superflex)
Week 8 · PPR · 56% held up in 2025
A toss-up
On Sleeper's projections, Tanner Koziol is projected 1.2 points ahead of Michael Carter. In the 2025 season, a player projected that far ahead outscored the other 56% of the time. That's close to a coin flip: on these projections neither is the better start, and an injury report or a projection update before kickoff can tip it.
TE · JAX
Tanner Koziol
1.3 projected
vs IND · Sun 1:00 PM ET
No games this season
RB · TEN
Michael Carter
0.1 projected
@ CIN · Sun 1:00 PM ET
2.4 a game this season · last 1: 2.4
What the call rests on
- Tanner Koziol: Sleeper's projection, last changed Tue, Oct 27, 5:40 PM ET
- Michael Carter: Sleeper's projection, last changed Tue, Oct 27, 5:40 PM ET
- Sleeper's projections read Tue, Oct 27, 5:50 PM ET.
- Injury statuses: Sleeper's player list, read Tue, Oct 27, 9:01 AM ET (once a day). Game-day inactives, about 90 minutes before kickoff, come after it.
| Same projections, scored | Koziol | Carter |
|---|---|---|
| PPR | 1.3 | 0.1 |
| Half PPR | 1 | 0.1 |
| Standard | 0.8 | 0.1 |
What could change it before kickoff
- A projection update of 1.2 points or more in the other direction flips the call; Sleeper keeps adjusting its projections until kickoff, and this page reads them again at most an hour after it last did.
Open in Who should I start (your league, more players)
This week’s projections are Sleeper’s, scored with PPR settings. The percentage is how often a projected gap like this held up across the 2025 season; checked against 2026 games (not used to fit it), the stated chances so far run a few points high, so read a 60% call as nearer 55%.