Scouting report · WR · New England
A.J. Brown
WR31 in 1QB dynasty leagues. Age alone takes 3% off in a year.
#76 overall · age 29 · 2019 round 2, pick 51 · 8th seasonQuestionable
NEWide receiver · WR31
Standard points a game
This week · week 8 · Standard
8.8WR19
@ MIA · Sun, Nov 1, 4:25 p.m. ET
Questionable · injury data read Sat, Oct 31, 9:27 a.m. ET
Sleeper's projection, read Sat, Oct 31, 9:27 a.m. ET, scored by Swindlr
Rest of season · redraft standard
#73 · WR21
Value 2,120 · 12 teams
Dynasty · Dynasty 1QB
#76 · WR31
Value 2,675 · 12 teams
Latest22 real trades for him in public Sleeper leagues, the sample's last two weeks
Dynasty value · Dynasty 1QB
2,675
▼ 222 · last 3 weeks of games
Rank
#76 · WR31
Overall · position
2026 Standard / game
3.4
3 games
Age
29
8 seasons in
In a year
−3%
2,583 · about #80 next year
Recalculated: today's model on the games through each week, valued at today's point in the season. It shows what each week's games did to his value, not the values Swindlr showed at the time.
Swindlr records its published values weekly from Oct 28, 2026; they'll appear here as a record beside this chart.
Every format
12-team leagues. Tap a format to see him in it.
Where his value comes from · Dynasty 1QB
This season 13%Next two seasons 37%Later 50%
58% of it is upside, the model's allowance for him outplaying his projection of 13.4 a game; the projection alone is worth the other 42%. That allowance comes from how widely players at his position score around their projections, set wider in a player's first three seasons and for seasons further off, and it's the least certain part of the number: a valuation that counts less of it would price him lower.
Splits
Regular season · week 8 of 2026 (in progress)
| Season | G | Tgt | Rec | Rec yds | Rec TD | Rush yds | Standard / G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 13 | 97 | 67 | 1,079 | 7 | 0 | 11.5 |
| 2025 | 15 | 121 | 78 | 1,003 | 7 | 0 | 9.5 |
| 2026 | 3 | 20 | 9 | 101 | 0 | 0 | 3.4 |
2026 week by week · Standard points
What he's worth in a trade
Dynasty 1QB
Real trades · 240 in the last year · 32 in dynasty one-QB leagues
The last 90 days of the sample, dynasty leagues: 79 trades, 69 Superflex or 2QB and 10 one-QB, 56 with a TE premium. Every trade with him, by format →
What managers actually gave for A.J. in completed trades in public Sleeper leagues, leagues like Dynasty 1QB first. Each shows the date and the league's settings; the price is what was agreed then, and the line under it is today's value, a different thing. Two-team trades of up to four pieces a side; none is left out for disagreeing with Swindlr. No league or manager names. 4 of them look lopsided at today's values (values move after a trade, with injuries and role changes, so a fair price then can look lopsided now); none is left out.
- Oct 7, 2026 · 12-team dynasty 1QBA.J. Brown for 2027 1st + 2027 3rdToday on the Dynasty 1QB board: 2,675 for his side, 2,146 for the otherCheck it at today's values, in its league's settings
- Oct 6, 2026 · 16-team dynasty 1QB, TE +0.75A.J. Brown + Rachaad White + Alec Pierce for Marvin Harrison Jr. + 2028 1stToday on the Dynasty 1QB board: 5,872 for his side, 3,078 for the otherCheck it at today's values, in its league's settings
- Sep 17, 2026 · 10-team dynasty 1QBA.J. Brown + 2027 3rd for Malik NabersToday on the Dynasty 1QB board: 3,021 for his side, 6,076 for the otherCheck it at today's values, in its league's settings
- Sep 17, 2026 · 14-team dynasty 1QB, TE +0.3Jalen Ramsey + Mike Gesicki + A.J. Brown for Carnell Tate + 2027 4thCheck it at today's values, in its league's settings
- Sep 2, 2026 · 16-team dynasty 1QB, half PPRDerrick Henry + A.J. Brown + Rico Dowdle + DeVonta Smith for 2027 1st + 2028 1st + 2029 1stToday on the Dynasty 1QB board: 9,632 for his side, 4,296 for the otherCheck it at today's values, in its league's settings
- Aug 31, 2026 · 12-team dynasty 1QBA.J. Brown + 2028 5th + 2029 4th for 2028 1st + 2029 1stToday on the Dynasty 1QB board: 2,923 for his side, 2,496 for the otherCheck it at today's values, in its league's settings
Equal value today · Swindlr's estimate
Not real trades: packages that land within a few percent of A.J.'s value in Dynasty 1QB now. Open one in the calculator to see who wins it.
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Values are Swindlr's estimates for 12-team leagues, updated with every week's stats (through week 8 of 2026 (in progress)). "In a year" is the same production a year older, on the age curve the model is tuned with; news, role changes and the next rookie class aren’t in it. Stats: nflverse (CC-BY 4.0).
Stats from Sleeper’s weekly stat lines, regular season, through week 8 of 2026 (in progress) (nflverse’s box scores fill a week Sleeper lacks); teams and injuries from Sleeper, Oct 30. Where the numbers come from.