Scouting report · RB · Baltimore

Derrick Henry

RB38 in Superflex dynasty leagues, but the clock is running: 26% less in a year on age alone.

#160 overall · age 32 · 2016 round 2, pick 45 · 11th season

BALRunning back · RB38

Standard points a game

18.72024
15.62025
16.12026 · 7 G

Current outlook

This week · week 8 · Standard

14.5RB6

@ BUF · Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 p.m. ET

No injury designation · injury data read Thu, Oct 29, 10:27 p.m. ET

Sleeper's projection, read Thu, Oct 29, 10:27 p.m. ET, scored by Swindlr

Rest of season · redraft standard

#8 · RB7

Value 6,641 · 12 teams

Dynasty · Dynasty SF

#160 · RB38

Value 1,659 · 12 teams

Dynasty value · Dynasty SF

1,659

▼ 221 · last 3 weeks of games

Rank

#160 · RB38

Overall · position

2026 Standard / game

16.1

RB6 at the position

Age

32

11 seasons in

In a year

−26%

1,226 · about #225 next year

Value through each week · 2026 · Dynasty SF

Recalculated: today's model on the games through each week, valued at today's point in the season. It shows what each week's games did to his value, not the values Swindlr showed at the time.

Swindlr records its published values weekly from Oct 28, 2026; they'll appear here as a record beside this chart.

Every format

12-team leagues. Tap a format to see him in it.

Where his value comes from · Dynasty SF

This season 43%Next two seasons 52%Later 6%

63% of it is what he's projected to score (16.1 a game, aged season by season) and 37% is upside, the chance he does better.

Splits

Regular season · week 7 of 2026

SeasonGCarRush ydsRush TDTgtRecRec ydsRec TDStandard / G
2024173251,921162219193218.7
2025173071,595162115150015.6
202671475797121068116.1

2026 week by week · Standard points

Wk 134.3Wk 214.7Wk 320.9Wk 413.9Wk 520.0Wk 64.0Wk 74.9

In the news

Swindlr analysis

Analysis ·

Week 8 start/sit: when PPR changes the answer

Jameson Williams climbs 7 places among receivers when catches don't count, one of 10 players who cross the illustrative 12-team starter line depending on scoring. The head-to-head that flips: Ashton Jeanty or Derrick Henry.

What he's worth in a trade

Dynasty SF

Real trades · 189 in the last year · 139 in dynasty Superflex leagues

The last 90 days of the sample, dynasty leagues: 75 trades, 61 Superflex or 2QB and 14 one-QB, 48 with a TE premium. Every trade with him, by format →

Managers have been paying more than this

In 20 Dynasty SF trades since September where he went alone, what they gave for him came to about 1.98× his value here (the middle half of them 1.47× to 2.39×). The market prices Derrick higher than Swindlr does.

What managers actually gave for Derrick in completed trades in public Sleeper leagues, leagues like Dynasty SF first. Each shows the date and the league's settings; the price is what was agreed then, and the line under it is today's value, a different thing. Two-team trades of up to four pieces a side; none is left out for disagreeing with Swindlr. No league or manager names. 8 of them look lopsided at today's values (values move after a trade, with injuries and role changes, so a fair price then can look lopsided now); none is left out.

Equal value today · Swindlr's estimate

Not real trades: packages that land within a few percent of Derrick's value in Dynasty SF now. Open one in the calculator to see who wins it.

Chris Brazzell IIWR · 6.8 proj ppg · compare · check it1,659
Geno SmithQB · 14.6 proj ppg · compare · check it1,655
Chris BellWR · 5.5 proj ppg · compare · check it1,655

Head to head

In your league

Make the move for Derrick.

Values are Swindlr's estimates for 12-team leagues, updated with every week's stats (through week 7 of 2026). "In a year" is the same production a year older, on the age curve the model is tuned with; news, role changes and the next rookie class aren’t in it. Stats: nflverse (CC-BY 4.0).

Stats from Sleeper’s weekly stat lines, regular season, through week 7 of 2026 (nflverse’s box scores fill a week Sleeper lacks); teams and injuries from Sleeper, Oct 29. Where the numbers come from.